Russia Next Move - Tanks and military vehicles are seen on a road in Ukraine's Kherson region on November 18, 2022 [Viacheslav Ratynskyi/Reuters]
After the recapture of the city of Kherson, Ukraine kept the Russian troops thinking about their next move, locking the occupying forces in defensive and inaccessible areas. use for criminal activities.
Russia Next Move
About 30,000 Russian troops, which withdrew from the West Bank of the Dnieper River earlier this month, pushed into the Zaporizhia and Kherson regions in the 39th week of the war, said Major General Vadym Skibitskyi, deputy head of military intelligence of Ukraine. Kyiv Post.
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"[The Russians] are waiting for our liberation, that's why they have built a barrier line in Kherson, one in the control zone between [Kherson and] Crimea, and another in the northern part of Crimea ," Skibitskiy said.
"The enemy is blocking the road to Zaporizhzhia," said the Ukrainian general. "On the way to Kryvyi Rih and Kherson, the enemy is building a high-quality defense system, improving the strong touch equipment and the logistical support of the advanced units and not stopping the firing on the location of our troops and villages on the right bank of the Dnipro. River."
When the withdrawal from the city of Kherson was announced on November 9, the head of the Russian military in Ukraine, Aleksandr Surovik, said that he would release human rights to strengthen other fronts.
Russia has focused on occupying the eastern Luhansk and Donetsk regions, and Russian artillery has been ineffectively hitting Ukrainian defenders there throughout the week.
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"The command of the Russian occupation forces is planning to retake the units taken from the right bank of the Dnipro river in the Kherson region during the independent division if the threat continues to regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. These structures are very aggressive about the idea of implementing those plans," they said.
Another reason for Russia's resistance is that Ukraine has made no secret of its desire to retake Crimea, which was occupied by Russia in 2014.
To get there, the rest of the Russian army had to be defeated in Kherson or Zaporizhia, and Russia was apparently waiting to attack there.
Skibitskiy said that the duration of the war in Crimea will depend mainly on the "arms and ammunition" that Ukraine will receive from the allies, but as long as it stands, the troops will be able to move than Russian military movements.
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"One area where we have advantages over the Russian Federation is very fast movement or consolidation of forces," he said. "For example, in preparation for [insurgency] operations in the Kherson region, Russian forces will move battalion tactical units from Kharkiv and Donetsk to Kherson and Zaporizhia for a month," he said.
"If the Ukrainians are still fighting a conventional war, focusing on the war they have done so far, their next step is to try to expand their weapons to separate Russian troops in unsupported areas," said Phillips O'Brien. . , who teaches strategy at the University of St Andrews.
He said that means that Zaporizhia will drive a wedge into the Sea of Azov, cutting off Russian forces in Kherson and Crimea from forces in Donetsk and Luhansk.
Despite 300,000 recruits in September and October, Russia appears to be running out of manpower - perhaps unable to adequately recruit these forces.
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Ukrainian officials said that Russia is preparing a law for residents of Ukraine's territories next year and will continue to take prisoners to Russia.
They also said that the Wagner group, which succeeded against the Russians in the Bakhmut region a few months ago, was hired by the workers of the Belgorod factory.
"According to the agreement with the management of the Oskol electrometallurgical plant, the employees of the student year will go to military training at the PMC base "Wagner" for 30 days without pay ... a special military [foot ]," the staff said.
"On November 19, a meeting was held in the city of Simferopol with the participation of the so-called "legislative" leaders and members of the city administration and the heads of the councils home. From November 21, members of the "military commissariats" and "police" in the mentioned areas will start temporarily in the occupied territory.
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Odesa, Vinnytsia, Sumy and Kyiv regions were the most affected, but on November 23 the power outages spread to the neighboring country of Moldova.
Residents gather at an aid distribution site to receive supplies in central Kherson, southern Ukraine, Friday, Nov. 18, 2022 [Bernat Armangue/AP]
The World Health Organization has warned that these attacks on power infrastructure mean many Ukrainians will face life-threatening conditions this winter, when temperatures are expected to drop in parts of the country. at 20C (-4F).
Two to three million Ukrainians will have to leave their homes to seek shelter from the heat, said Hans Henri P Kluge, WHO Regional Director for Europe.
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"The crisis of energy efficiency, the depth of the psychological crisis, the limited access to humanitarian aid and the risk of viral diseases this winter are a great test for the health system of Ukraine and the citizens of Ukraine," Kluge said.
"Russia's brutality only deepens our resolve to defend Ukraine's fundamental right to self-defense and to defend international order," said US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin after becoming chairman of the seventh contact group of countries providing aid to Ukraine.
Hours before Russia's attack on Wednesday, the European Parliament, in a highly political move, declared Russia a "state sponsor of terrorism" for these weapons. 494 delegates voted, 58 against and 44 against.
"Attacks and atrocities by the Russian Federation against the civilian population of Ukraine, the destruction of civilian infrastructure and other serious violations of human rights and international humanitarian law are acts of terrorism," e said the resolution.
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In the future, on Friday, 10 months of the war will have passed. As the cold weather descends, Russian President Putin hopes that Ukraine will begin to resolve — a situation that cannot be fought at this time. As for suspense, filmmaker Alfred Hitchcock said, "Always let the audience suffer."
The Russian leader held the world for months. Is he going to launch an all out invasion of Ukraine or not? Will he dismantle the post-Cold War security order in Europe or not?
"If he keeps his mind, he won't try to attack everyone. But he can do a lot of things, like attack cyber and squeeze Ukraine economically like a boa constrictor . Russia has a military attack to take it all. Donetsk and Luhansk regions are possible too. He is like a cat playing with mice."
It is difficult to understand what is going on behind the walls of the Kremlin. Reading Putin's thoughts is more difficult.
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But what he says and what he says gives clues to his motivation. President Putin is deeply saddened by the end of the Cold War and Russia's loss of power, territory and influence. NATO's eastward expansion has soured him. Moreover, he is increasingly sounding like someone on a messianic mission to force Ukraine back into Moscow's orbit.
"He is more like an ayatollah than an FSB security chief," said Vladimir Pastukhov, a senior researcher at University College London. "His belief is close to his special place in history."
"He will go in stages. First he will define the [separatist] regions. Then he will distribute the troops. Later, the regions may call for a referendum on joining Russia under the Crimea situation. This may lead to a military operation in the region to expand their territory in their territory before 2014.
"If he's allowed to play the game by his own rules, he'll do it as soon as possible. He'll cook the meat over a slow fire."
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Western leaders hope that the new round of sanctions will change Moscow. But Russia has a strong voice.
"We knew in the past that this was the only tool that the West could use against us, to stop our development ... we knew that there would be sanctions no matter what. Nothing is wrong what we do and how we behave. . Punishments are inevitable."
"But Russia doesn't care that its international reputation is going down in the West and it's bad?" I asked. "It's getting harder to see your country as an enemy."
"You invented this name," replied Zakharova. "What do you think of the name West? It's covered in blood."
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"Most people don't want to know what's going on there," said Denis Volkov of the Levada public opinion agency.
"It's very scary for them. They don't want to listen. People are afraid of war: almost half of the people we surveyed think that war is possible."
Few Russians publicly oppose the government line. But some Russian intellectuals have signed a petition to avoid a "dreamy, dangerous, criminal" war in Ukraine. They say that "the Russians have become prisoners of evil."
"In Russia, we don't have the opportunity to do that
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